U.S. intelligence assesses that Russia could launch a limited attack on a NATO member between this fall and 2029, likely targeting the Baltics or Poland, according to a report. The assessment warns that such an attack would be an attempt to test the alliance's resolve and fragment the organization. The warning comes amid heightened tensions between NATO and Russia over the war in Ukraine and Moscow's increasingly assertive posture toward the alliance's eastern flank. The intelligence suggests that Russian President Vladimir Putin may be willing to risk a direct confrontation with NATO, but in a limited scope designed to avoid a full-scale war. The report does not specify which intelligence agencies produced the assessment or the precise nature of the potential attack.